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DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FOR AUGUST 04, 2022

EUR/USD

Current level – 1.0170

The bulls again suffered a setback at the 1.0270 resistance and the euro once more sank back to the key support of 1.0125. During yesterday’s session, the pair formed local resistance at 1.0210. Expectations remain negative and prices are likely to break out of the range and to subsequently test the 1.0050 – 1.0000 zone. The market remains in a downtrend and the current range can be interpreted as a pause for the bears, rather than an attempt to reverse the direction of the trend. The resistance at 1.0270 acts as a wall and breaching it is rather difficult at the moment, since in order for that to happen, there would first need to be a significant improvement in the macro environment. Today, increased activity can be expected around the release of initial jobless claims data for the U.S. at 12:30 GMT.

USD/JPY

Current level – 133.55

The decline in the USD/JPY belongs to the higher time frames. The daily support at 130.70 sparked bull interest and prices bounced back sharply, reaching the resistance at 134.60. It is possible that the recovery of the dollar will continue, with the first support for the day being the area at around 132.52. If the bulls slow down the pressure, then the market will be more likely to enter a range than to decline below the level of 130.60. In the event 134.60 is breached, the next targets could be 135.70 and 137.40, respectively.

GBP/USD

Current level – 1.2163

The Cable snapped its winning streak and is currently trading at last week’s levels. An interest rate hike by the Bank of England is expected today and volatility is anticipated to be high. A decision is expected at 11:00 GMT, with the pair likely to sell off heavily on a signal that the bank will not do enough to tackle inflationary pressures. First support for the day is 1.2100, followed by 1.2020. First resistances for the bulls are the key level at 1.2180 and the one at 1.2270. It is possible that when the news is released, prices will also reach the next zone at 1.2330, but a rally above it is unlikely.

Gold price keeps its positive stability

Gold price tested 1755.70 level again and kept its stability above it, to rebound bullishly and resume the correctional bullish wave, waiting to breach 1779.25 to confirm opening the way to head towards 1802.80.

The EMA50 continues to support the expected rise, which moves organized inside the bullish channel that appears on the chart, noting that the continuation of the bullish wave requires holding above 1755.70.

The expected trading range for today is between 1755.00 support and 1790.00 resistance.

The expected trend for today: Bullish

Source: Technical analysis

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