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DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FOR AUGUST 12, 2022

EUR/USD

Current level – 1.0318

On Thursday this week, the single European currency was moving erratically. The day started low, but at the European open, the bulls took control and reached the same price as Wednesday, namely 1.0364. The reaction of the bears after the release of the U.S. manufacturing inflation data was swift and they brought the currency down from its double top and so the market closed at around 1.0317. Today, between 6:45 and 09:00 GMT, we will see a set of data that may give the euro a clear direction. Whether Tuesday’s move will be further corrected or if we see a new wave of uptrend movements will depend on traders’ reaction to today’s data.

USD/JPY

Current level – 133.01

The Ninja is still hesitant about which direction to take after several extremely volatile trading sessions. In the early hours, we saw attempts to breach the key 133.27 level, but the bulls gave up, and in the next few hours, we saw a bottom deeper than the one reached yesterday. The price of 131.70 played the role of support and the USD/JPY managed to end the day with a bounce of nearly 30 pips from the mentioned bottom. Today, the data at 14:00 GMT on the current state of consumer sentiment in the U.S. may have an effect on the currency pair. Whether the corrections will deepen or if we will see a reversal of the trend remains to be seen.

GBP/USD

Current level – 1.2196

Yesterday, the Cable’s situation was akin to that of the euro. It started low, followed by a bull attack, but after reaching the 1.2243 resistance, the pair began moving in a narrow 40-pip range. We saw some slight buying at the 1.2183 levels, but everyone seems to be holding their breath as they await today’s data releases. At 6:00 GMT, we’ll gain more insights into the UK gross domestic product on a monthly basis, as well as the preliminary count of quarterly GDP. Along with this, we also expect a report showing whether the production slowdown is continuing or deepening. If the results are negative, then the probability of the GBP/USD going down would be high because of the political crisis on the island and the lack of clarity about who will take over the role of Boris Johnson.

Gold price needs strong positive momentum

Gold price fluctuates within sideways track between 1779.25 support and 1802.80 resistance, while the EMA50 continues to provide the positive support to the price, to keep the chances to continue the bullish trend, which its targets begin by breaching the mentioned resistance to head towards 1831.95.

On the other hand, we should note that breaking 1779.25 will stop the expected decline and press on the price to turn to decline, to head towards testing 1755.70 areas before determining the next destination clearly.

The expected trading range for today is between 1775.00 support and 1810.00 resistance.

The expected trend for today: Bullish

Source: Technical analysis

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