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DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FOR AUGUST 18, 2022

EUR/USD

Current level – 1.0176

Today’s trading session for the single European currency got off to a shaky start as the euro continued to trade just below the resistance at 1.0188. A successful breach of this level would be an opportunity for the bears to go forward with an attack on the local resistance at 1.0220, where a confirmed breach of this critical level would pave the way for the pair towards the next critical one lying at 1.0276. In case the resistance at 1.0188 withholds the bulls’ pressure, then we may expect a wave of sell-offs heading the price towards the support at 1.0120. This week started with low volatility, which may suggest that the pair may remain locked in the range of 1.0120 – 1.0180 before investors can enter the market and define the future path of the pair. Today, increased volatility can be expected around the release of the initial jobless claims data for the U.S. at 12:30 GMT. A worse-than-expected data may trigger an impulsive move and a test of the resistance at 1.0276. However, the most likely scenario for today’s trading session is for the bulls to lead the pair towards the local resistance at 1.0220. On the other hand, the long-term negative sentiment for a new EUR/USD parity is still intact and any new highs here may be considered as a good opportunity to enter the market through short positions.

USD/JPY

Current level – 134.85

The critical resistance at 135.38 managed to resist the bulls’ attack and the pair is currently headed towards a test of the support at 134.33 ­– a retracement that may be considered as a corrective move – before the upward movement is to potentially resume its course. A breach of the resistance at 135.38 could definitely be considered as a confirmation of the positive sentiment and would most probably lead the pair towards the next zone at 137.28. However, a potential deepening of the sell-offs and a violation of the mentioned support may lock the pair in the range of 133.29 – 132.56.

GBP/USD

Current level – 1.2044

The support at 1.2020 appeared to be a strong obstacle for the bears to overcome. However, the forecast for today’s trading session is for a slight upward movement towards 1.2070, where the bears would most probably try to take control over the market and make another attempt to violate the mentioned support. A successful breach of this support level would easily head the pair toward the one at 1.1935, as the market sentiment remains strongly based on the appreciation of the greenback. On the other hand, if the bulls gain enough momentum to overcome the resistance at 1.2063, then their next target would be the resistance at 1.2134.

Midday update for Gold

Gold price didn’t show any strong move since morning, to fluctuate around 1765.00 level, thus, no change to the expected bearish trend scenario for today, which depends on the price stability below 1779.25, reminding you that our targets begin at 1755.25 and extend to 1726.60 after surpassing the previous level.

The expected trading range for today is between 1750.00 support and 1780.00 resistance.

The expected trend for today: Bearish

Source: Technical analysis

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