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DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FOR JULY 11, 2022

EUR/USD

Current level – 1.0137

The euro posted its second straight week of losses against the U.S. dollar. The bears managed to break the annual support around 1.0350 and the breakout has not yet been tested. The market is in a strong downtrend and for now the bulls are unable to even trigger a deep pullback. On Friday, the pair was close to parity with a low at 1.0071. The recovery was then capped by the resistance at 1.0186, with the bearish pressure likely to continue. First daily support for the pair is 1.0115 and the next one is the low at 1.0071. This week, the market may test the breakout of the 1.0350 zone, but it will also need support from the macro environment to trigger a rally. Sentiment remains negative and the more likely scenario for the pair is a decline to 1.0071 and 1.0000 subsequently. No significant events are expected in the economic calendar today.

USD/JPY

Current level – 137.18

The dollar demonstrated strength against the Japanese yen and early this morning the pair broke through the resistance at 136.70. Expectations are for a test of the breakout zone. If the breakout is validated, a rally to 138.00 is possible. In its attempts to limit bond yields, the Bank of Japan appears to have lost control of the currency markets, and they are clearly reflecting the stress from credit markets. In a longer term, an attack on the top of the summer of 1998 at 146.80 is not excluded. In alternative scenarios and the rally petering out, the break of 136.70 could prove to be false. For now, there are no fundamental factors to reverse the uptrend, but technically a deeper correction to 131.70 can be observed. First supports for the bulls are 136.70, 136.00, 135.30 and the most important of the series is at 134.24.

GBP/USD

Current level – 1.1977

The Sterling is also struggling against the strong dollar. Last week, declines remained limited around support at 1.1910, with this area also being the first daily support. First resistance for the bulls is the area around 1.2045 and the weekly resistance is at 1.2170. The downtrend remains strong and any rallies should be sold off. If the 1.1910 support is broken, a drop to 1.1700 can be expected. The higher frames show that prices are still above the annual support around 1.1910, which does not rule out deep corrections. If the Sterling follows the Euro weakness, this zone could be broken, opening the door for deeper declines towards 1.1470 – the March 2020 low.

Gold price within sideways track 

Gold price fluctuates within sidways track in the previous sessions, noticing that stochastic loses its positive momentum gradually, while the EMA50 continues to press negatively on the price.

Therefore, these factors encourage us to continue suggesting the bearish trend for the upcoming period, and the price needs to break 1730.00 to get negative motive that assist to push the price to visit 1700.00 direct, noting that holding below 1745.00 represents initial condition to continue the expected decline.

The expected trading range for today is between 1720.00 support and 1760.00 resistance.

The expected trend for today: Bearish

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