DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FOR JULY 28, 2022
EUR/USD
Current level – 1.0200
Wednesday’s expectations for low volatility ahead of the Fed’s decision were realised. The Euro moved steadily higher around the opening of the European session, reaching its key level of 1.0170, but quickly corrected the hard-earned pips. This attack by the bears managed to bring the euro back to around 1.0110. Everyone was waiting for the Federal Reserve’s decision and when traders saw confirmation of the U.S. interest rate hike to 2.50%, followed four hours of high volatility with the same highs and lows within those hours. The 1.0170 resistance was breached and the pair managed to reach 1.0217 by the end of the day. At 12:30 GMT today, the U.S. GDP data is also expected to move the market. If the dollar continues to weaken, then the next resistance at 1.0270 can be reached, but not before the one at 1.0217 is breached. The first support is the level at 1.0168.
USD/JPY
Current level – 136.56
Today the USD/JPY extended its recovery from the 135.56 low, reached on Friday. The NInja slowly moved higher, managing to reach 137.46 – a key level that proved to be quite strong throughout the whole month. A correction started again even before the data came out, but the pair found a bottom around the level at 136.30. There, the bulls started to open new positions and brought the Ninja back to 137.46, but the bears prevailed once more and for the second time pushed the pair to the same bottom, where the day ended. The pair will also be influenced by the dollar strength around the U.S. GDP data at 12:30 GMT. The corrective move is expected to continue as the USD/JPY may return to 135.56 where it was at the end of last week, but if the data is positive for the dollar, the bulls will most likely gain momentum.
GBP/USD
Current level – 1.2154
At the start of the London session, we saw a slight rise in GBP/USD, but the key level of 1.2085 managed to restrain the bulls before the Fed decision. The 75 bps hike led to four extremely volatile hours due to the fact that the market found Powel’s comments to have a more dovish tone. As a result, the dollar started to shed from its value and the aforementioned resistance was breached. There will be no specific data for the pound today, but at 12:30 GMT the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish GDP data. If the decline of the dollar continues, we may see a new weekly high, but if the data stimulates traders to buy the dollar, then we may see a corrective move towards 1.2056.
Midday update for Gold
Gold price shows new positive trades to approach our waited target at 1755.70, and we expect the continuation of the bullish bias to surpass this level and head to visit 1772.00 followed by 1779.25 levels as next positive stations, reminding you that the continuation of the bullish wave depends on the price stability above 1726.60 and 1715.65 levels.
The expected trading range for today is between 1725.00 support and 1760.00 resistance.
The expected trend for today: Bullish
Source: Technical analysis
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