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DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FOR JUNE 29, 2022

EUR/USD

Current level – 1.0528

Just as expected, the disappointing data on consumer confidence for the United States sank the euro towards 1.0500. In the early hours of today, the bulls are trying to hold onto the zone, and the trading range of the pair remains locked between 1.0467 and 1.0601. The zone at 1.0467 was tested several times and immediately provided reliable support. If there is a new attack of the bulls on the resistance at 1.0601, it is likely that it will be breached and the pair will continue the rally towards 1.0740. At the moment, bad macroeconomic data supports a strong dollar and this hinders the appearance of sustainable rallies. The mood is therefore rather mixed and the market is waiting for a catalyst to start a trend movement. Today is expected to be a busy day in terms of calendar events, the most significant being a series of business and consumer confidence data for the euro area at 09:00 GMT, the GDP data for the U.S. at 12:30 GMT, and speeches by Christine Lagarde and Jerome Powell at 13:00 GMT.

USD/JPY

Current level – 135.97

The pair marked another day of gains, but the bulls still failed to reach the resistance at around 136.50. If their pressure continues today as well, it is likely that the zone will be breached and the pair will mark new peaks. The uptrend remains strong, and at the moment, the price action does not show signals for a reversal of the trend. The first daily support is the zone at 135.43, and the most significant one is found at 134.33. As long as the extremely different monetary policies of the central banks of the United States and Japan are being maintained, this may allow the pair to reach levels as high as 141.00 in the long run.

GBP/USD

Current level – 1.2202

The sterling continues to trade in the range between the support at 1.2170 and the resistance at 1.2320 for a second week in a row. The duration of the range implies the accumulation of a large volume of positions, and therefore the creation of a strong movement upon its exit. The support at 1.2170 has proven to be reliable in the past, but the optimal scenario for the pair could be a false breach of 1.2170 in order to activate liquidity and a strong follow-up attack on 1.2320. At the moment, the market remains indecisive, and a rise in activity can be expected below 1.2170 or with a confirmed breach of 1.2320.

Gold price declines calmly 

Gold price crawls downwards calmly, and it didn’t show any strong move in the previous sessions, thus, the bearish trend scenario will remain valid as it is without any change, supported by the negative pressure formed by the EMA50, reminding you that our waited targets begin at 1810.00 followed by 1780.25, while achieving them requires holding below 1850.00.

The expected trading range for today is between 1800.00 support and 1835.00 resistance.

The expected trend for today: Bearish

Source: Technical analysis

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