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DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FOR MARCH 30, 2023

EUR/USD

Current level – 1.0842

The strong upward movement of EUR/USD that started at the end of the previous week and successfully continued after the successful breach of the psychological resistance at 1.0800, was limited after the bulls’ failure to violate the resistance at 1.0862. The expectations for today’s trading session are for a correction towards the support at 1.0800, and the trading to remain in the narrow range 1.0800 – 1.0860. A spike in volatility is likely during the announcement of the economic data for the initial jobless claims and GDP for the U.S. (today at 13:30 GMT), where better-than-expected data would provide the necessary stimulus for the sellers to enter the market and lead the pair towards the support at 1.0755. On the other hand, an increase in unemployment claims for the U.S. could lead to a strong appreciation of the euro against the dollar and an impulsive upward movement towards the resistance at 1.0900.

USD/JPY

Current level – 132.56

At the time of writing this analysis, the Ninja is facing serious difficulties in overcoming the key resistance at 133.00 and to continue its upward movement that began after the successful breach of the resistance at 131.70 which is now acting as a key support for the bears. Only a confirmed breach of the resistance at 133.00 would suggest a change in the overall negative market sentiment and could possibly lead the pair towards a test of the resistance 133.87. However, the downtrend seems to be still intact and the most possible scenario for today’s trading session is for the bears to regain control over the market and attack the support at 131.70. A successful breakthrough there could easily pave the way for the pair towards the next key support at 130.00.

GBP/USD

Current level – 1.2308

The bulls could not gain enough momentum to breach the key resistance level at 1.2345 and the pair is currently headed in the downward direction towards а possible test of the support at 1.2280. In case this level is violated, it is highly possible to witness a deeper correction towards the support at 1.2187, which, in fact, is the forecast for today’s trading session. In an alternative scenario where the bulls prevail and manage to overcome the resistance at 1.2345, the pair could move towards the resistance at 1.2415.

Gold price tests the support

Gold prices hover around 1962.50 level, which urges caution from the upcoming trading, as the price needs to consolidate above this level to keep the bullish trend scenario active, which targets 2000.00 level as a next main station.

The EMA50 provides continuous positive support to the price, while stochastic attempts to gather the positive momentum on the intraday time frames, to continue suggesting the bullish trend for the upcoming period, but it is important to note that breaking 1962.50 and holding below it will stop the expected rise and press on the price to achieve new bearish correction that its first target is located at 1933.20.

The expected trading range for today is between 1945.00 support and 1980.00 resistance.

The expected trend for today: Bullish

Source: Technical analysis

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